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Are bookies better at predicting elections than the national polls? That question has yes and no answers, and to our knowledge has never been determined by a recognized and scientifically controlled study.You can’t, Bill, have it both ways. Overall pollsters are still giving Hillary Clinton favorable odds of besting both fields to take the office of President of the United States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables....
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What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11. Democrat leaning Indies can choose the republican they are most sure their desired nominee will trounce in the general election and buoy him or her by voting for the other side in the primary, then casting a ballot for their favored party’s nominee in November.In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying....
“I want to hedge my bets. There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries. You could have also taken the data from amalgamated polling, like Huffington Post does, and made a killing betting against the odds as the Romney side was so confident that taustralian registered online casino bhnhhe lines were skewed horribly in his favor on many books....
