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New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor. The sword cuts both ways – if a Republican (registered as an Independent) thinks any eventual candidate would do better than Sanders or Clinton in November, they can vote for the weaker Democrat Tuesday. As of this morning Clinton is even to take the presidency and Rubio is -150 to Trump’s +160....

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New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor.Sports betting sites will take your action (where it is legal to bet on such things) and the odds are all over the place in a way you would never see in such contests as the Super Bowl or a footie match with reams of stats and plenty of known commodities; in fact it’s a game where a dart throw to pick the winner could pay off handsomely. Overall pollsters are still giving Hillary Clinton favorable odds of besting both fields to take the office of President of the United States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables....

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Overall pollsters are still giving Hillary Clinton favorable odds of besting both fields to take the office of President of the United States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables. What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11. You cannot protect yourself “here” without being hurt “there....

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As of this morning Clinton is even to take the presidency and Rubio is -150 to Trump’s +160.” Not only can a hedge betting system NOT beat a game like craps, but it also won’t even dent the house edge. There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries....

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You can’t, Bill, have it both ways.”Was it was a good move on Mizner’s part? Perhaps, but when it comes to the game of craps, my advice remains the same: Never hedge your bets. “Do you want a priest?” he was asked, during an interval of consciousness....

 

 

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